Tuesday, January 30, 2007

New Poll In From Iowa

Thanks for Charlie over at Hagel2008.blogspot.com for pointing this out.

In a poll published by Strategic Vision, there is good news for the Hagelites. Senator Hagel is polling 5th (only 1 point behind Mitt Romney) and he hasn't even declared yet. (As you will note, I speak in a optimistic tone that the Senator will run)

However, I believe that the more important poll statistic is that 77% of those polled do not see President Bush as a Republican Conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan. This is enormous. It truly shows that the Republican base is recognizing the variance between what has historically been the Republican platform and what it has morphed into over the last few years. If this mood in the electorate continues to hold up, this bodes well for Senator Hagel and the opportunity that he will have to connect with a Republican base that is weary and looking for someone with a fresh voice on its traditional principles.


Below are the results of a three-day poll in
the state of Iowa. Results are based on telephone interviews with
600 likely Republican cacus goers and 600 likely Democratic cacus
goers, aged 18+, and conducted January 19-21, 2007. The margin
of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.


1. If the 2008 Republican presidential caucus were held today between, Sam Brownback, Jim Gilmore, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, George Pataki, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, and Tommy Thompson for whom would you vote? (Republicans Only; Names Rotated)

Rudy Giuliani 25%
John McCain 21%
Newt Gingrich 13%
Mitt Romney 8%
Chuck Hagel 7%
Tommy Thompson 2%
Tom Tancredo 2%
Sam Brownback 2%
Mike Huckabee 1%
George Pataki 1%
Jim Gilmore 1%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Undecided 16%

2. Do you see President George W. Bush as a conservative Republican in the mode of Ronald Reagan? (Republicans Only)

Yes 11%
No 77%
Undecided 12%

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